Escalation Watch

Charts escalation of acts of aggression and preparation for war in European theater. Kind of technical and bureaucratic, but probably a good gauge of how close Europe and Russia are to full scale war.

A war between NATO and Russia would take months or years of visible preparation, but only days to activate once a decision is taken. This page tracks that preparation: 51 indicators scored 0–3 from open sources on both sides. A read-only snapshot, last updated 2026-10-15 (latest check 2026-10-15, latest logged event 2026-10-15). Every indicator has its own link, e.g. #E01.

 

https://escalationwatch.com/

 

“Ukrainian” drone attack on Moscow

 

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